VIRTUAL ASSETS: RISK OF IMPACT ON FINANCIAL STABILITY |
|||||
Author |
Samsin R. I., PhD in Law, Ukraine, Kyiv |
||||
In heading |
Law; | ||||
Signed print |
22.12.2023 | Issues number |
2023-№4 (55) | Page |
56-72 |
Type of articles |
Scientific article | Code UDK |
346.6:336.717 | ISSN print |
2411-5584 |
Abstract |
Problem setting. The spread of virtual assets in the world financial market, the emergence of their new types, and other processes that have taken place in this area and exist today, make it necessary to study the probability of risk connected with their impact on the stability of the financial system of certain countries and world financial system. Recent research and publication analysis. In the scientific field, the following views have been formed regarding the probability of the influence of virtual assets on financial stability: representatives of the first point out that the risk in point of virtual assets at the current stage continues to remain at the same level as in regarding to cryptocurrencies before; representatives of the second indicate that the risk remains only with respect to cryptocurrencies; representatives of the third believe that due to the emergence of new types of virtual assets, the risk of their impact on the stability of the financial system increases; representatives of the fourth do not share concerns about the likelihood of virtual assets influencing the stability of the financial system of certain countries and the global financial system. Paper objective. The purpose of the article is to substantiate the probability of the risk of destabilizing influence of cryptocurrencies on the financial system in the modern period as a necessary condition for its future forecasting. Paper main body. Financial stability is the ability of the financial system (global or national) to perform its own functions under the conditions of the occurrence of certain risks. Regarding whether there is a risk of the possibility of virtual assets influencing the financial stability of the financial system of certain countries and the global financial system at the current stage, we note the following. First, the further active work of the governments of different countries, international organizations and supranational institutions on the legal regulation of the circulation of virtual assets, the establishment of state regulation in this area, the introduction at the current stage of state projects for the circulation of national currencies on blockchain technology – all this proves that the governments understand the risk of the likelihood of the impact of virtual assets on the financial stability of the financial system and continue to implement measures to prevent it. Secondly, the IMF, and most Central Banks of different countries recognize this risk, although they focus only on the uncontrolled distribution of cryptocurrencies. Thirdly, the spread of other types of virtual assets, except cryptocurrencies, in particular stablecoins, creates a risk of possible impact on the financial stability of the financial system of certain countries, primarily those to whose currency stablecoins are “linked”. Conclusion of the research. At the current stage, despite active efforts by the governments of various countries international organizations and supranational institutions to legally regulate the circulation of virtual assets and use other measures aimed at eliminating or reducing the risk of the likelihood of virtual assets affecting the financial stability of financial systems (both global and national), such risk remains, although it shifts to the uncontrolled distribution of certain types of them – cryptocurrencies and stablecoins. Short abstract for an article Abstract. The article analyzes scientific views on determining the likelihood of the risk of virtual assets affecting the stability of the global financial system and the financial systems of certain countries, the activities of the governments of different countries, international organizations and supranational institutions on the legal regulation of the circulation of virtual assets. On this basis, the conclusion is substantiated that in the modern period the risk of uncontrolled distribution of certain types of virtual assets still remains. It has been proven that the spread of stablecoins is a factor in increasing the risk of their impact on the stability of the financial systems of certain countries. |
||||
Keywords |
financial system, financial stability, virtual assets, risk of the probability of impact of virtual assets on the stability of financial systems, cryptocurrencies, stablecoins. | ||||
Reviewer |
|||||
External reviewer |
|||||
Article in PDF |
56-72 | ||||
Bibliography |
1. Nakamoto, S. (2008). Bitcoin: A peer-to-peer electronic cash system. https://bitcoin.org/bitcoin.pdf 2. Federal Council report on virtual currencies in response to the Schwaab (13.3687) and Weibel (13.4070) postulates. (2014, June 25). https://perma.cc/7VAB-FNBJ 3. HM Treasury. (2015, March). Digital currencies: response to the call for information. https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/414040/digital_currencies_response_to_call_for_information_final_changes.pdf 4. European Central Bank. (2012, October). Virtual currency schemes. https://www.ecb.europa.eu/pub/pdf/other/virtualcurrencyschemes201210en.pdf 5. European Central Bank. (2015, February). Virtual currency schemes – a futher analysis. https://www.ecb.europa.eu/pub/pdf/other/virtualcurrencyschemesen.pdf 6. Kozyrev, M. (2023, September 12). Bank Anglii: v budushchem bitkoini mogut poshatnut finansovuyu stabilnost Velikobritanii [Bank of England: Bitcoins could undermine UK financial stability in future]. https://web.archive.org/web/20141026045308/http://apparat.cc/news/bank-of-england-bitcoin/ [in Russian]. 7. Tapscott, D., & Tapscott, A. (2016). Blockchain revolution: How the technology behind bitcoin is changing money, business, and the world. Portfolio; Penguin. https://itig-iraq.iq/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/Blockchain_Revolution.pdf 8. Munger M. C. (2015, fall). The age of cryptocurrency: How bitcoin and the blockchain are challenging the global economic order. By Paul Vigna and Michael J. Casey. St. Martin’s Press, 2015. 357 p. The Independent Review: A Journal of Political Economy, 15(2). https://www.independent.org/publications/tir/article.asp?id=1077 9. Popper, N. (2015). Digital gold: Bitcoin and the inside story of the misfits and millionaires trying to reinvent money. Harper Collins Publishers. http://repo.darmajaya.ac.id/4146/1/Digital%20Gold_%20Bitcoin%20and%20the%20Inside%20Story%20of%20the%20Misfits%20and%20Millionaires%20Trying%20to%20Reinvent%20Money%20 %28 %20PDFDrive%20 %29.pdf 10. Financial Action Task Force. (2020). 12-month review of the revised FATF Standards on virtual assets and virtual asset service providers. FATF. https://www.fatf-gafi.org/content/dam/fatf-gafi/reports/12-Month-Review-Revised-FATF-Standards-Virtual-Assets-VASPS.pdf.coredownload.pdf 11. Carstens, A., Claessens, S., Restoy, F., & Shin, H. S. (2021, August 2). Regulating big techs in finance (BIS Bulletin, No. 45). https://www.bis.org/publ/bisbull45.pdf 12. Restoy, F. (2021, February). Fintech regulation: How to achieve a level playing field (Occasional Paper, No. 17). Financial Stability Institute. https://www.bis.org/fsi/fsipapers17.pdf 13. Carstens, A. (2020, March). Shaping the future of payments. BIS Quarterly Review, 17–20. https://www.bis.org/publ/qtrpdf/r_qt2003e.htm 14. Carstens, A. (2021, December). Non-bank financial sector: Systemic regulation needed. BIS Quarterly Review, 1–6. https://www.bis.org/publ/qtrpdf/r_qt2112_foreword.htm 15. Duchenko, M. M, & Pavlenko, T. V. (2018). Vplyv kryptovaliut na ekonomiku krainy [The influence of crypto-currency on the economy of the country]. Ekonomika i suspilstvo – Economy and Society, 19, 1002–1009. https://economyandsociety.in.ua/journals/19_ukr/150.pdf [in Ukrainian]. 16. National Bank of Ukraine. (2020). Stratehiia makroprudentsiinoi polityky: zatv. rishenniam Pravlinnia NBU 14 hrudnia 2020 r. [Strategy of macroprudential policy: approved by the decision of the Board of the NBU on December 14, 2020]. https://bank.gov.ua/admin_uploads/article/Strategy_MaP.pdf [in Ukrainian]. 17. Mishchenko, V. I., & Mishchenko, S. V. (2008). Osnovni napriamy zabezpechennia stabilnosti finansovoho sektoru Ukrainy v konteksti hlobalizatsiinykh protsesiv [The main directions of ensuring the stability of the financial sector of Ukraine in the context of globalization processes]. Finansy Ukrainy – Finances of Ukraine, 3, 56–69 [in Ukrainian]. 18. Danylenko, A. (2019, March 6). Shcho take finansova stabilnist, ta yak tsentralni banky mozhut yii zabezpechuvaty [What is financial stability and how central banks can ensure it]. Ekspertna platforma – Expert Platform. https://expla.bank.gov.ua/expla/news_0026.html [in Ukrainian]. 19. Belinska, Ya. V. (2012). Mekhanizm zabezpechennia finansovoi stabilnosti: struktura, instrumenty, napriamy rozvytku [Mechanism of ensuring financial stability: structure, tools, directions of development]. Stratehichni priorytety – Strategic priorities, 1(22), 72–84 [in Ukrainian]. 20. Korinok, Ya. O. (2015). Sutnist finansovoi stabilnosti ta osoblyvosti yii proiavu [The essence of financial stability and features of its manifestation]. Naukovyi visnyk Khersonskoho derzhavnoho universytetu – Scientific Bulletin of Kherson State University, 11(2), 126–130 [in Ukrainian]. 21. Chyrak, I. (2020). Finansova stabilnist, finansova nestabilnist i finansova stiikist ekonomiky [Financial stability, financial instability and financial stability of the economy]. Svit finansiv – The World of Finance, 2(63), 115–125 [in Ukrainian]. 22. Unkovska, T. Ye. (2009). Systemne rozuminnia stabilnosti: rozviazannia paradoksiv [Systemic understanding of stability: solving paradoxes]. Ekonomichna teoriia – Economic Theory, 1, 14–33 [in Ukrainian]. 23. Schinasi, G. J. (2004). Defining financial stability (IMF Working Paper, No. 187). International Monetary Fund. 24. Padoa-Schioppa, T. (2002, October 24–25). Central banks and financial stability: Exploring a land in between. In The transformation of the European financial system. https://www.ecb.europa.eu/events/pdf/conferences/tps.pdf 25. Falyuta, A. V. (2007). Zabezpechennia finansovoi stabilnosti banku cherez systemu upravlinnia ryzykamy [Providing of financial stability of bank is through control the system by risks]. Naukovyi visnyk Natsionalnoho lisotekhnichnoho universytetu Ukrainy – Scientific Bulletin of the National Forestry University of Ukraine, 17.2, 230–235 [in Ukrainian]. 26. Crockett, A. (1997). The theory and practice of financial stability (Essays in international finance, No. 203). Princeton University. https://ies.princeton.edu/pdf/E203.pdf 27. Chant, J. (2003, September). Financial stability as a policy goal. In Essays on financial stability (Technical Report No. 95, pp. 1–28). Bank of Canada. https://www.banqueducanada.ca/wp-content/uploads/2010/01/tr95.pdf 28. Davis, E. A. (2001). A Typology of financial instability (Financial stability report No. 2). Oesterreichische Nationalbank. 29. Foot, M. (2007). What is financial stability and how do we get it? Speech on Meeting of the Financial Services Authority and ACI (UK). 30. Fisher, I. (1933). The debt-deflation theory of great depression. Econometrica, 1, 337–357. 31. Minsky, H. (1977). The financial instability hypothesis: An interpretation of Keynes and an alternative to “standard” theory. Nebraska Journal of Economics and Business, 16(1), 5–16. 32. Lagunoff, R. D., & Schreft, S. L. (1998). A model of financial fragility. Journal of Economic Theory, 99(1–2), 220–264. https://doi.org/10.1006/jeth.2000.2733 33. Kregel, J. (2009). The natural instability of financial markets (The IDEAs Working Papers Series, No. 4). https://www.networkideas.org/working/jun2009/04_2009.pdf 34. Skrypnychenko, M. I. (Ed.). (2012). Faktory makroekonomichnoi nestabilnosti v systemi modelei ekonomichnoho rozvytku [Factors of macroeconomic instability in the system of models of economic development]. Instytut ekonomiky ta prohnozuvannia NAN Ukrainy [in Ukrainian]. 35. International Monetary Fund (2023, February 23). IMF executive board discusses elements of effective policies for crypto assets. https://www.imf.org/en/News/Articles/2023/02/23/pr2351-imf-executive-board-discusses-elements-of-effectivepolicies-for-crypto-assets 36. Shcho take kapitalizatsiia kryptovaliut [What is the capitalization of cryptocurrencies]. (2023, February 15). Pro vse – All About. https://provce.ck.ua/shcho-take-kapitalizatsiiakryptovaliut [in Ukrainian]. 37. Musiienko, O. (2021, February 18). Shcho take steiblkoiny ta de yikh vykorystovuiut? [What are stablecoins and where are they used?]. Blog Imena.UA. https://www.imena.ua/blog/what-are-stablecoins [in Ukrainian]. 38. Tether: Fiat Currencies on the Bitcoin Blockchain. (n.d.). https://assets.ctfassets.net/vyse88cgwfbl/5UWgHMvz071t2Cq5yTw5vi/c9798ea8db99311bf90ebe0810938b01/TetherWhitePaper.pdf 39. Litvinenko, Ye. (2021, October 20). Senatori SShA vistupili protiv zapuska Tsukerbergom steiblkoina Diem i kriptokoshelka Novi [US senators opposed Zuckerberg’s launch of the Diem stablecoin and the Novi crypto wallet]. Hash Telegraph. https://hashtelegraph.com/senatory-ssha-vystupili-protiv-zapuskacukerbergom-stejblkoina-diem-i-kriptokoshelka-novi [in Russian]. |
||||
Code DOI |
https://doi.org/10.31359/2411-5584-2023-55-4-56 |
22.12.2023