ПРОГНОЗИРОВАНИЕ: СУЩНОСТЬ И ЗНАЧЕНИЕ ДЛЯ РЕАЛИЗАЦИИ МОНЕТАРНОЙ ПОЛИТИКИ

Автор
, доктор экономических наук, доцент, профессор кафедры банковского бизнеса и финансовых услуг, Украина, г. Харьков, площадь Свободы, 4
, доктор экономических наук, доцент, профессор кафедры финансов, банковского дела и страхования, Харьков, Украина, площадь Свободы, 4

В рубрике

 Экономическая теория;

Подписано в печать

 23.11.2021

Номер выпуска

 2021-№4 (47)

Страница

 25-52

Тип статьи

 Научная статья

Код УДК

 338.23:336.74

ISSN print

 2411-5584

Аннотация

 Обоснована необходимость прогнозирования реализации монетарной политики. Определено, что управление ожиданиями экономических субъектов посредством построения соответствующих прогнозов дает возможность участникам финансового рынка: оценивать видение регулятором содержания монетарной политики, нацеленной на приведение инфляции к установленной цели; принимать обоснованные инвестиционные решения; усиливать результативность влияния ключевой ставки на рыночные процентные ставки, стоимость финансовых ресурсов и инфляцию. Отмечена вариативность прогнозов. Изложены этапы осуществления прогноза и принятия решений по монетарной политике. Доказана значимость предположений, качества исходных данных, экспертной оценки при прохождении каждого этапа в самом прогнозе. Определены центры прогнозирования в Украине. Приведена корреляция целей Национального банка и принципов монетарной политики Национального банка. Предложены направления усовершенствования макроэкономического прогнозирования.

Ключевые слова

 монетарная политика, регуляторная деятельность, прогнозирование, анализ, ожидания, эффективность, методология, модельный инструментарий.

Рецензент

Внешний рецензент

Статья в PDF

 25-52

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Код DOI

 10.31359/2411-5584-2021-47-4-25

21.01.2022